Ryan Dodson
April 19, 2024 1:01 pm ET
The Milwaukee Brewers(11-6) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (9-10) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 8-5 last season
The Brew Crew dropped 2 of 3 against the San Diego Padres, but they won 1-0 Wednesday to snap a 3-game slide. They’re 2nd in BA (.277), OBP (.351) and OPS (.796) and 11th in the bigs with a 3.82 ERA. Milwaukee is 7-2 on the road thus far.
The Cards did what the Cards do and failed to complete a 3-game sweep over the Oakland Athletics with a 6-3 loss Wednesday. They’ve lost 6 of 10 as the offense has yet to awaken. The Cards are 23rd in BA (.226), 24th in OBP (.300) and 24th in OPS (.653). Their pitching has been better at 10th with a 3.74 ERA. STL is 3-3 at home.
Brewers at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Freddy Peraltavs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Peralta (2-0, 2.55 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.68 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 over 17 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 11 K vs. Baltimore Orioles last Friday
- Last 5 regular season starts vs. STL: 1-4, 5.81 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 30 K in 26 1/3 IP
Gibson (1-2, 6.16 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 19 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K Saturday against Arizona Diamondbacks
- Last 5 starts vs. MIL: 0-1, 5.76 ERA, 2.04 WHIP, 23 K in 25 IP
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Brewers at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+145) | Cardinals +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Brewers at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Cardinals 3
Moneyline
Peralta has had some blowups against the Cards in the last couple of years, but that’s because he couldn’t locate his pitches. He has allowed just 2 BB with 26 K’s in his 3 starts. The Brewers are getting on base and getting runs in any way they can.
Take the BREWERS -120.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m keyed in on Gibson here, who has given up 36 hits in 25 IP in his last 5 starts against Milwaukee. He also gave up 6+ hits in his last 2 starts.
Take KYLE GIBSON OVER 5.5 HITS ALLOWED (+100) with some even-money dessert.
Over/Under
The Brewers are 9-1 O/U in their last 10, but those came at 3 hitters’ parks in Milwaukee, Cincinnati and Baltimore. The Cards are 3-7 O/U. The Over has hit just twice in the last 10 meetings.
This is a tiny total, but it’s expected to be 58 degrees with a 6-mph gust blowing in from left-center.
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
MoreMLB Picks and Predictions
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside.