Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) and Pittsburgh Pirates (11-11) open a 4-game series in Western Pennsylvania with 1st pitch in Monday’s lid-lifter set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Milwaukee won last year’s series 8-5

The Brewers head to Pittsburgh fresh off a 3-game sweep at the St. Louis Cardinals. Despite ranking 2nd in the league in scoring (5.89 runs per game), Milwaukee has scored 2 runs or less in 3 of its last 4 games. The Brewers won all 3 of those low-output contests and tote a 4-game win streak into this series.

Pittsburgh has also filed some low-scoring games of late, but the Pirates have been losing them. The Pirates lost 3 in a row to the Boston Red Sox over the weekend, plating just 4 runs along the way. Pittsburgh has scored just 1.50 RPH in going 0-6 since April 15.

Brewers at Pirates projected starters

RHP Joe Ross vs. RHP Jared Jones

Ross (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 14 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 7-3 loss vs. San Diego Padres last Monday
• Career vs. Pirates: 1-1, 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 19 H, 3 BB, 24 K in 4 starts

Jones (1-2, 3.13 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He owns a 0.78 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 23 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at New York Mets Tuesday
• The 22-year-old rookie is facing the Brewers for the 1st time
• Has not filed a walk since his March 30 MLB debut and has posted 14-or-more swinging strikes in each start

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Brewers at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Pirates -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (+190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Pittsburgh is 3-1 across the last 4 series meetings.

Pitching is the great equalizer, but streaks losing streaks are often tough to get into going against the grain.

Figure the PIRATES -130being a small-value play; consider a partial unit for this wager.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value on the ML.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 13 games. The total has gone Over in 8 of the Brewers’ last 9 games when playing on the road at Pittsburgh.

Strength-of-schedule-wise, both clubs have faced tougher-than-average pitching.

Of late, the Pittsburgh offense has been hemmed in by poor clutch hitting performances. The Milwaukee bullpen has posted good early-season numbers but has been helped along by a .237 batting average on balls in play.

The weather forecast calls for an outward-blowing breeze, and there is moderate value on the OVER 7.5 (-118); that’s a price available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

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